The Federal Reserve’s Interest Rate Policies and Donald Trump’s Economic Policies: Their Impact on Bitcoin’s 2026 Price Prediction

The Federal Reserve’s (Fed) interest rate policies and former President Donald Trump’s economic policies could have significant effects on Bitcoin’s price predictions for 2026. With Trump’s potential re-election, notable changes in economic policies are expected. Specifically, tax cuts and extensive tariffs under Trump’s administration could lead to inflationary pressures, prompting the Fed to reassess its interest rate decisions.

Nomura analysts suggest that Trump’s aggressive trade policies could slow economic growth, delaying the Fed’s interest rate cut cycle until 2026. Analysts emphasize that additional tariffs on China and a proposed 10% tariff on other countries could pressure U.S. consumer spending. This uncertainty in policy could negatively impact corporate investment decisions, increasing economic risks.

Anthony Scaramucci, founder of SkyBridge Capital, predicts that the U.S. will address its impending debt crisis by allowing a slight rise in inflation. Scaramucci argues that this approach could adversely affect savers and middle-to-low-income households. Additionally, he forecasts that Bitcoin could triple in value, reaching $170,000 by 2026. He attributes this growth to expectations surrounding Trump’s vision of making the U.S. the "crypto capital of the planet."

If Trump is re-elected, Bitcoin’s price is expected to experience significant fluctuations. Trump’s favorable stance on cryptocurrencies and his goal to establish the U.S. as a global crypto leader could boost investor confidence and increase Bitcoin demand. However, the inflationary effects of his trade policies and the Fed’s potential counteraction through interest rate hikes may introduce volatility into the markets. As a result, Bitcoin investors must closely monitor both U.S. economic policies and global market trends.

The Fed’s interest rate policies and Trump’s economic strategies will play a critical role in Bitcoin’s 2026 price trajectory. Inflationary pressures and potential interest rate shifts could directly impact Bitcoin’s value. Investors are advised to consider these factors carefully and adopt a prudent approach when making investment decisions.